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Extended two-stage adaptive designs with three target responses for phase II clinical trials.

Published in Statistical methods in medical research

We develop a nature-inspired stochastic population-based algorithm and call it discrete particle swarm optimization to find extended two-stage adaptive optimal designs that allow three target response rates for the drug in a phase II trial. Our proposed designs include the celebrated Simon's two-stage design and its extension that allows two target...

Design and inference for 3-stage bioequivalence testing with serial sampling data.

Published in Pharmaceutical statistics

A bioequivalence test is to compare bioavailability parameters, such as the maximum observed concentration (Cmax ) or the area under the concentration-time curve, for a test drug and a reference drug. During the planning of a bioequivalence test, it requires an assumption about the variance of Cmax or area under the concentration-time curve for the...

Sequential designs with small samples: Evaluation and recommendations for normal responses.

Published in Statistical methods in medical research

Sequential monitoring is a well-known methodology for the design and analysis of clinical trials. Driven by the lower expected sample size, recent guidelines and published research suggest the use of sequential methods for the conduct of clinical trials in rare diseases. However, the vast majority of the developed and most commonly used sequential ...

Bayesian optimal response-adaptive design for binary responses using stopping rule.

Published in Statistical methods in medical research

Response-adaptive designs are used in phase III clinical trials to allocate a larger number of patients to the better treatment arm. Optimal designs are explored in the recent years in the context of response-adaptive designs, in the frequentist view point only. In the present paper, we propose some response-adaptive designs for two treatments base...

Controlled multi-arm platform design using predictive probability.

Published in Statistical methods in medical research

The process of screening agents one-at-a-time under the current clinical trials system suffers from several deficiencies that could be addressed in order to extend financial and patient resources. In this article, we introduce a statistical framework for designing and conducting randomized multi-arm screening platforms with binary endpoints using B...

Developments of the total entropy utility function for the dual purpose of model discrimination and parameter estimation...

The total entropy utility function is considered for the dual purpose of Bayesian design for model discrimination and parameter estimation. A sequential design setting is proposed where it is shown how to efficiently estimate the total entropy utility for a wide variety of data types. Utility estimation relies on forming particle approximations to ...

Sequential Design for Ranking Response Surfaces

We propose and analyze sequential design methods for the problem of ranking several response surfaces. Namely, given $L \ge 2$ response surfaces over a continuous input space $\cal X$, the aim is to efficiently find the index of the minimal response across the entire $\cal X$. The response surfaces are not known and have to be noisily sampled one-a...