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Year-ahead Prediction of Hurricane Season Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic

Authors
  • Meagher, Jonathan
  • Jewson, Stephen
Type
Preprint
Publication Date
Jun 21, 2006
Submission Date
Jun 21, 2006
Identifiers
arXiv ID: physics/0606185
Source
arXiv
License
Unknown
External links

Abstract

One possible method for the year-ahead prediction of hurricane numbers would be to make a year-ahead prediction of sea surface temperature (SST), and then to apply relationships that link SST to hurricane numbers. As a first step towards setting up such a system this article compares three simple statistical methods for the year-ahead prediction of the relevant SSTs.

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