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Statistical analysis and modelling of small satellite reliability

Authors
  • Guo, Jian
  • Monas, Liora
  • Gill, Eberhard1, 2
  • 1 Faculty of Aerospace Engineering
  • 2 Delft University of Technology
Type
Published Article
Journal
Acta Astronautica
Publisher
Elsevier
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2014
Accepted Date
Jan 21, 2014
Volume
98
Pages
97–110
Identifiers
DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2014.01.018
Source
Elsevier
Keywords
License
Unknown

Abstract

Highlights•A statistical analysis of small satellite reliability using in-orbit failure data.•Bayesian/Markov Chain Monte Carlo is proposed for satellite reliability modelling.•Results show the infant mortality of small satellites, especially with TTC.•Bayesian/MCMC results in better fitting Weibull models than the classical MLE method.•Bayesian/MCMC has good performance when very limited in-orbit failures are observed.

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