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A small climate-amplifying effect of climate-carbon cycle feedback

Authors
  • Zhang, Xuanze1, 2
  • Wang, Ying-Ping3, 4
  • Rayner, Peter J.5
  • Ciais, Philippe6
  • Huang, Kun2
  • Luo, Yiqi7
  • Piao, Shilong8
  • Wang, Zhonglei9
  • Xia, Jianyang2
  • Zhao, Wei10
  • Zheng, Xiaogu11
  • Tian, Jing1
  • Zhang, Yongqiang1
  • 1 Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China , Beijing (China)
  • 2 East China Normal University, Shanghai, China , Shanghai (China)
  • 3 Terrestrial Biogeochemistry Group, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China , Guangzhou (China)
  • 4 CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Private Bag 1, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia , Aspendale (Australia)
  • 5 University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia , Parkville (Australia)
  • 6 Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France , Gif-sur-Yvette (France)
  • 7 Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA , Flagstaff (United States)
  • 8 Peking University, Beijing, China , Beijing (China)
  • 9 Xiamen University, Xiamen, China , Xiamen (China)
  • 10 National Meteorological Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China , Beijing (China)
  • 11 Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China , Beijing (China)
Type
Published Article
Journal
Nature Communications
Publisher
Springer Nature
Publication Date
May 19, 2021
Volume
12
Issue
1
Identifiers
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22392-w
Source
Springer Nature
License
Green

Abstract

How to curb climate change is uncertain, in part because determination of allowable emissions depends on models with low accuracy. Here the authors re-analyze climate-carbon feedbacks and find that CO2 emissions could be 9 ± 7% higher and still meet Paris Agreement goals.

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