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Regular intervals between hawaiian earthquakes: implications for predicting the next event.

Authors
  • Wyss, M
Type
Published Article
Journal
Science (New York, N.Y.)
Publication Date
Nov 07, 1986
Volume
234
Issue
4777
Pages
726–728
Identifiers
PMID: 17744470
Source
Medline
License
Unknown

Abstract

During the years 1941 through 1983 five earthquake mainshocks of moderate magnitude occurred at regular intervals of 10.5 +/- 1.5 years within a 6-kilometer radius in Hawaii. It is proposed that these Kaoiki earthquakes will continue to occur at regular intervals because the strain accumulation rate and the strained volume remain constant. With appropriate instrumentation, it may be possible to refine predictions of subsequent Kaoiki earthquakes.

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