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Statistical model for predicting arrival and geoeffectiveness of CMEs based on near realtime remote solar observations

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  • Computer Science
  • Earth Science

Abstract

Summary:<br/>What?: CME geomagnetic forecast tool<br/>Context: integrated in COMESEP alert system (www.comesep.eu/alert)<br/>Input: positional and physcial parameters from detection algorithms<br/>CACTus, flaremail and SolarDemon<br/>Output: estimation of CME arrival, storm impact and duration<br/>How?: statistical model developed based on CME event lists

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