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ACA Medicaid Expansion Associated With Increased Medicaid Participation and Improved Health Among Near-Elderly: Evidence From the Health and Retirement Study

  • McInerney, Melissa1
  • Winecoff, Ruth2
  • Ayyagari, Padmaja3
  • Simon, Kosali2
  • Bundorf, M. Kate4
  • 1 Department of Economics, Tufts University, Medford, MA, USA
  • 2 Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA
  • 3 University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA
  • 4 Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
Published Article
Inquiry: A Journal of Medical Care Organization, Provision and Financing
SAGE Publications
Publication Date
Jul 28, 2020
DOI: 10.1177/0046958020935229
PMID: 32720837
PMCID: PMC7388087
PubMed Central


The Affordable Care Act (ACA) dramatically expanded health insurance, but questions remain regarding its effects on health. We focus on older adults for whom health insurance has greater potential to improve health and well-being because of their greater health care needs relative to younger adults. We further focus on low-income adults who were the target of the Medicaid expansion. We believe our study provides the first evidence of the health-related effects of ACA Medicaid expansion using the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). Using geo-coded data from 2010 to 2016, we estimate difference-in-differences models, comparing changes in outcomes before and after the Medicaid expansion in treatment and control states among a sample of over 3,000 unique adults aged 50 to 64 with income below 100% of the federal poverty level. The HRS allows us to examine morbidity outcomes not available in administrative data, providing evidence of the mechanisms underlying emerging evidence of mortality reductions due to expanded insurance coverage among the near-elderly. We find that the Medicaid expansion was associated with a 15 percentage point increase in Medicaid coverage which was largely offset by declines in other types of insurance. We find improvements in several measures of health including a 12% reduction in metabolic syndrome; a 32% reduction in complications from metabolic syndrome; an 18% reduction in the likelihood of gross motor skills difficulties; and a 34% reduction in compromised activities of daily living (ADLs). Our results thus suggest that the Medicaid expansion led to improved physical health for low-income, older adults.

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