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A Model to Analyze the Macroeconomic Interdependence of Hong Kong with China and the United States

  • Economics


Based on several stylized facts, this paper develops a macroeconomic model for Hong Kong that emphasizes its interdependence with China and the United States. Important macroeconomic variables such as the price level and nominal wage rate, as well as capital flow, are analyzed first in a static setting and then in a dynamic model. As an application, the model is used to analyze macroeconomic adjustment of Hong Kong in response to economic slowdown in the U.S. and a possible devaluation of the RMB. Theoretical results are obtained both under the assumption of adaptive and rational expectations.

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