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Model design to predict forest fire risk in Navarra (Spain) using time series analysis

Authors
Publisher
E.U.I.T. Forestal (UPM)
Publication Date
Keywords
  • Silvicultura

Abstract

Understand and predict how forest fire potential changes over time are essential for prioritizing forest management activities and reducing damage. Nowadays we lack the capacity to predict future forest fire trends in response to climate change. The main goal of this research is to build an empirical model to describe, estimate and forecast the forest fires dynamics using the improved Fire Potential Index (FPI) (Huesca et al., 2007) as indicator of fire.

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