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Estimation of Expert’s Competence for the Tasks of Forecasting

International Black Sea University
Publication Date
  • Analysis
  • Assessment Criteria
  • Expert
  • Expert’S Competence
  • Forecasting
  • Management
  • Strategic Planning
  • "The 7A"
  • Education


The thesis represents the forecasting system as an organic and important part of the management for the various types of organizationsand enterprises. Forecasting, with the strategic planning, is complexly discussed and considered necessary and obligatory backgroundfor the development of any company. The publication describes the forecasting system as combined method of forecasting and unifiesquantitative and expert (judgmental) forecasting methods.The methodology of the expert’s competence’s determination considers the expert’s skill in specific field by the following assessmentcriteria: education quality, general work experience, work experience in specific field, expert’s experience, awareness in the field andexpert effectiveness.

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