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Les liens entre RMI et chômage, une mise en perspective

Authors
Journal
Économie & prévision
0249-4744
Publisher
PERSEE Program
Publication Date
Volume
122
Issue
1
Identifiers
DOI: 10.3406/ecop.1996.5780
Disciplines
  • Economics

Abstract

Putting the Links between Minimum Income Support and Unemployment into Perspective by Stéphane Jacobzone The introduction of minimum income support in 1989 was accompanied by an increase in unemployment among unskilled The subsequent introduction of the single digressive unemployment benefit in 1992 altered the ways in which benefits were managed. The fact that the growth in the number of minimum income support beneficiaries has been on a incline since its introduction has raised a certain number of questions. This study proposes some elements for estimating the structural dynamics of the number of beneficiaries. It presents a picture of their profile and the development of profile. Modeling on time series then shows that unemployment benefit rejections, after a five-month lag and in 20% of the can be used to estimate how many people enter the system. The modeling of exits using a diffusion process enables a five- six-month forecasting model to be constructed. This work results in a forward-looking study on the dynamics of the mechanisms.

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