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The information content of the trading process

Authors
Journal
Journal of Empirical Finance
0927-5398
Publisher
Elsevier
Publication Date
Volume
4
Identifiers
DOI: 10.1016/s0927-5398(97)00005-4
Keywords
  • Market Microstructure
  • Model Estimation
Disciplines
  • Mathematics

Abstract

Abstract The trade process is a stochastic process of transactions interspersed with periods of inactivity. The realizations of this process are a source of information to market participants. They cause prices to move as they affect the market maker's beliefs about the value of the stock. We fit a model of the trade process that allows us to ask whether trade size is important, in that large and small trades may have different information content (they do, but this varies across stocks); whether uninformed trade is i.i.d. (it is not); and, whether large buys and large sells are equally informative (they differ only marginally). The model is fitted by maximum likelihood using transactions data on six stocks over 60 days.

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