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Manhood Trials and the Law of Mortality

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  • Mathematics

Abstract

Manhood Trials and the Law of Mortality Demographic Research a free, expedited, online journal of peer-reviewed research and commentary in the population sciences published by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Doberaner Strasse 114 · D-18057 Rostock · GERMANY www.demographic-research.org DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH VOLUME 4, ARTICLE 7, PAGES 185-202 PUBLISHED 17 MAY 2001 www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol4/7/ DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2001.4.7 Manhood trials and the law of mortality Harald Hannerz © 2001 Max-Planck-Gesellschaft. Table of Contents 1. Introduction 186 2. Some gender comparisons 189 3. Traffic casualties 190 4. A mathematical treatment of the accident hump 191 5. Discussion 199 Demographic Research - Volume 4, Article 7 http://www.demographic-research.org 185 Manhood trials and the law of mortality Harald Hannerz 1 Abstract The present paper introduces a continuous eight-parameter survival function intended to model mortality in modern male populations. 1 Department of Epidemiology and Surveillance, National Institute of Occupational Health, Lersø Parkallé 105, DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø, Denmark. Email: [email protected] Demographic Research - Volume 4, Article 7 186 http://www.demographic-research.org 1. Introduction “Mathematically a statistical model is essentially a specified family of admissible probability distributions. [...] A statistical model should give a correct and as far as possible an explanatory description of the actual data structure. It must also be statistically analysable, in practice as well as in theory. [...] Faced with the complex physical reality, with imprecise knowledge as to causes and mechanisms behind the variation in data, and equipped with limited mathematical and numerical resources, one often has to settle with a model that describes data in rough outlines. [...] A good mode

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