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Application of catastrophe theory in earthquake hazard assessment and earthquake prediction research

Authors
Journal
Tectonophysics
0040-1951
Publisher
Elsevier
Publication Date
Volume
167
Identifiers
DOI: 10.1016/0040-1951(89)90068-1
Disciplines
  • Mathematics

Abstract

Abstract Catastrophe theory is a mathematical theory for the description of natural and social catastrophic phenomena. However, its application in the fields of earthquake hazard assessment and earthquake prediction research has not been reported. Based on real seismicity-time series data in a specific region, a method for earthquake hazard assessment and earthquake prediction by incorporating cusp catastrophe A 3 is presented. Through experimental computation of real earthquake sequences, the effectiveness of the method is demonstrated. It is therefore shown that the catastrophe theory has potential for application in the fields of earthquake hazard assessment and earthquake prediction research.

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