Affordable Access

Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: A case study

Authors
Publication Date
Disciplines
  • Earth Science

Abstract

We present a case study using the TIGGE database for flood warning in the Upper Huai catchment (ca. 30 672 km2). TIGGE ensemble forecasts from 6 meteorological centres with 10-day lead time were extracted and disaggregated to drive the Xinanjiang model to forecast discharges for flood events in July-September 2008. The results demonstrated satisfactory flood forecasting skills with clear signals of floods up to 10 days in advance. The forecasts occasionally show discrepancies both in time and space. Forecasting quality could potentially be improved by using temporal and spatial corrections of the forecasted precipitation.

There are no comments yet on this publication. Be the first to share your thoughts.