А forecast of the dynamics of natural disasters and their impact on forest ecosystems is required for effective eliminating the consequences of natural disasters in the forest fund and for improving the quality of management decisions, Such a forecast can be obtained using predictive analytics methods based on the analysis of statistical data of pa...
This paper presents the solutions on renewable energy forecasting proposed by the Horizon2020 Project Smart4RES. The ambition of the project is twofold: (1) increase substantially the performance of short-term forecasting models of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) production and associated weather forecasting and (2) optimize decisions subject to RES...
Mortality forecasting has crucial implications for insurance and pension policies. A large amount of literature has proposed models to forecast mortality using cross-sectional (period) data instead of longitudinal (cohort) data. As a consequence, decisions are generally based on period life tables and summary measures such as period life expectancy...
Branch and regional prioritization of the forest sector is a necessary condition for its development and compatibility growth. It allows toplan and forecast the forest management activities and their allocation across the country. Strategic planning and forecasting should use the following methodology. Firstly, it is necessary to rank the priority ...
The prediction of human longevity levels in the future by direct forecasting of life expectancy offers numerous advantages, compared to methods based on extrapolation of age-specific death rates. However, the reconstruction of accurate life tables starting from a given level of life expectancy at birth, or any other age, is not straightforward. Mod...
The vulnerability of the French Riviera territories to hydro-meteorological hazards has been highlighted by the flash flood of the 3rd of October 2015, which had catastrophic consequences. In the view of the speed and violence of these phenomena, the development of warning systems able to provide real-time flood mapping should make it possible to l...
Ethiopia’s National Meteorological Agency’s (NMA) Enhancing National Climate Services (ENACTS) is a collaborative tool developed by the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), The Earth Institute at Columbia University, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS) which is supported by the World Meteorological Or...
Mortality modelling and forecasting are deeply rooted in demographic and actuarial sciences. Models to describe mortality patterns over age and time have long been used and developed since John Graunt (1662) introduced one of the first models of mortality, the life table. Forecasts of mortality have also been produced for many years: the first exampl...
The HyMeX international research project (Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean eXperiment, www.hymex.org), as part of the multi-agency MISTRALS program launched in 2010 for a 10-y period, aims at advancing our understanding of the water cycle in the Mediterranean, and in particular to improve knowledge and forecasting of hydrometeorological risk...
Passenger load forecasting can be valuable in transportation planning, operation management and for enriching the information available to passengers, particularly in high-density megacities. This paper investigates the long and short term forecasting of passenger loads in a transit network by using multiple sources of data (on-board headcount data...
