The COVID-19 pandemic: model-based evaluation of non-pharmaceutical interventions and prognoses.
Published in Nonlinear dynamics
An epidemiological model for COVID-19 was developed and implemented in MATLAB/GNU Octave for use by public health practitioners, policy makers, and the general public. The model distinguishes four stages in the disease: infected, sick, seriously sick, and better. The model was preliminarily parameterized based on observations of the spread of the d...