Ulceluse, Magdalena Kahanec, Martin
Published in
Journal of population economics
When the European Union expanded eastward in 2004 and 2007 to accession the so-called EU8 and EU2 countries, respectively, the incumbent member states imposed temporary restrictions on the employment of EU8 and EU2 nationals. Self-employed individuals were exempted from these transitional arrangements, prompting concerns that self-employment could ...
Goda, Gopi Shah Jackson, Emilie Nicholas, Lauren Hersch Stith, Sarah See
Published in
Journal of population economics
The COVID-19 pandemic represents a major threat to health and economic well-being in the USA, especially for older and disabled workers, and may spill over onto Social Security. We use individual-level from the Current Population Survey, state-level monthly Social Security administrative data on disability benefit applications, and national-level m...
Ritter, Patricia I Sanchez, Ricardo A
Published in
Journal of population economics
The potential death toll from an epidemic is larger than the number of deaths directly associated with the infection. In this study, we find that prenatal exposure to a cholera epidemic in Peru increased childhood mortality and that surviving children were more likely to be underweight and to suffer from diarrhea. We further find that a significant...
de Boer, Henk-Wim Jongen, Egbert L W
Published in
Journal of population economics
We combine the strengths of structural models and natural experiments in an analysis of tax-benefit reforms in the Netherlands. We first estimate structural discrete-choice models for labour supply. Next, we simulate key past reforms and compare the predictions of the structural model with the outcomes of quasi-experimental studies. The structural ...
Pongou, Roland Tchuente, Guy Tondji, Jean-Baptiste
Published in
Journal of population economics
We develop a model of optimal lockdown policy for a social planner who balances population health with short-term wealth accumulation. The unique solution depends on tolerable infection incidence and social network structure. We then use unique data on nursing home networks in the US to calibrate the model and quantify state-level preference for pr...
Cassan, Guilhem Sangnier, Marc
Published in
Journal of population economics
Soon after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the French government decided to still hold the first round of the 2020 municipal elections as scheduled on March 15. What was the impact of these elections on the spread of COVID-19 in France? Answering this question leads to intricate econometric issues as omitted variables may drive both epidemiolog...
Caselli, Mauro Fracasso, Andrea Scicchitano, Sergio
Published in
Journal of population economics
Italy was among the first countries to introduce drastic measures to reduce individual mobility in order to slow the diffusion of COVID-19. The first measures imposed by the central authorities on March 8, 2020, were unanticipated and highly localized, focusing on 26 provinces. Additional nationwide measures were imposed after one day, and were rem...
Palguta, Ján Levínský, René Škoda, Samuel
Published in
Journal of population economics
Elections define representative democracies but also produce spikes in physical mobility if voters need to travel to polling places. In this paper, we examine whether large-scale, in-person elections propagate the spread of COVID-19. We exploit a natural experiment from the Czech Republic, which biannually renews mandates in one-third of Senate con...
Bukowski, Paweł Clark, Gregory Gáspár, Attila Pető, Rita
Published in
Journal of population economics
This paper measures social mobility rates in Hungary during the period 1949 to 2017, using surnames to measure social status. In those years, there were two very different social regimes. The first was the Hungarian People's Republic (1949-1989), which was a communist regime with an avowed aim of favouring the working class. The second is the moder...
Marquez-Padilla, Fernanda Saavedra, Biani
Published in
Journal of population economics
We study the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and of government mandated mitigation policies on the number of abortions performed by Mexico City's public abortion program. We find that the COVID-19 pandemic and stay-at-home orders (SAHO) implemented in Mexico led to unintended consequences for women's sexual and reproductive health. Using difference...
